Mojo Player Spotlight: Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

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One of Kobe Bryant’s top 10 rules for success was, “Prove them wrong.”

This season, the Jacksonville Jaguars paid an incredible amount of money to wide receiver Christian Kirk in free agency. Kirk signed a four-year deal worth up to $72 million with $37 million guaranteed. All of this for a player who averaged just 59 receptions, 725.5 receiving yards and 4.25 touchdowns annually over his first four years in Arizona. Skeptics wondered, “Can Christian Kirk be a team’s WR1?”

Heading into a critical Week 18 matchup with Tennessee, Kirk has silenced those critics. He is the perfect spot to finish off his career year with a fantastic performance that helps propel the Jaguars into the playoffs for the first time since 2017. This all equates to a great buying opportunity at Mojo for the 26-year-old wideout.

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Mojo Spotlight: Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Christian Kirk has already reached career high in every major receiving category. Entering Week 18, Kirk has tallied 78 receptions, 1,009 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. Kirk attacks opposing defenses from a variety of locations, but he continues to excel in the slot. He ranks fourth among all wide receivers in slot snaps per FTN and has posted three games of 100 or more receiving yards. In the prior four seasons, Kirk only crested that number a total of four times combined.

Kirk’s targets have risen throughout the season, peaking now in the most important time of the year. He tallied seven or more targets in eight straight games from Week 7 through Week 15, only seeing a big reduction last week against Houston in a 31-3 blowout victory.

Jacksonville deploys Kirk on almost every snap, having put him on the field for 90% or more of the plays eight times and 80% or more of the plays in 15 of the 16 games. Kirk is the clear top receiver in this offense and has produced as such throughout the 2022-2023 season.

Kirk now faces a Tennessee team that ranks 28th in pass defense DVOA per FootballOutsiders. Over the last five weeks, the Titans have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers including the most (84) receptions and second-most receiving yards during that time.

At Mojo, Kirk’s price has steadily risen throughout his career, to its current price at $15.34. However, when you see his price over the entirety of this season, there is still room for growth.

Kirk’s stock price hit a career high of $17.27 Sept. 26. This was after Jacksonville’s third game of the season, when Kirk caught his third touchdown in just three games. Investors sold quickly after that point, leaving Kirk’s price to oscillate around $15 for the remainder of the season. Even when you look at his price over the past month, there is still a downward trend, dropping about $0.50.

This is a huge game for Jacksonville, with a chance to win the AFC South and earn a playoff berth with a victory. The Jaguars can still make the playoffs with a loss, but they would need some help.

Christian Kirk is having a career year, residing as the team’s clear WR1, and now has a fantastic matchup at home against a weak Tennessee secondary. There are underrated growth possibilities with Kirk, especially if the Jaguars can not only reach the playoffs, but win a playoff game.

As far as Kirk’s long-term value, being tethered to an ascending franchise quarterback in Trevor Lawrence can only help his long-term outlook. I am all-in on Christian Kirk at Mojo, as a player with both short-term and long-term financial gains on the horizon.

Mojo Player Spotlight: Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Authors

Mike Randle

Mojo Spotlight: Christian Kirk, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

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