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Sam Choudhury
DVOA Articles
NFL
DVOA
Snap-Weighted Size 2023: Defense
Yesterday, we took a look at snap-weighted size for offenses in 2023. Today, we'll take a look at defenses, special…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Snap-Weighted Size 2023: Offense
Take all your skill, your tactics, your teamwork and your strategy, put them in a box and throw them out…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
The 2018 NFL Draft, Six Years Later
Like so many drafts before it, the 2024 NFL draft revolves around the quarterback position. Mocks have as many as…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
1980 Player DVOA and DYAR: Earl Campbell Goes Beast Mode
We're continuing our look at 1979 and 1980 DVOA ratings with the unveiling of the 1980 player DVOA and DYAR…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
1980 DVOA: Eagles Can’t Climb the Summit
The Philadelphia Eagles top the ratings as the best team of 1980, narrowly surpassing the surprising Atlanta Falcons. This makes…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
1979 Player DVOA and DYAR: The Greatness of Staubach
Let's continue our look back at 1979 and 1980 DVOA ratings. Today we have player DVOA and DYAR from the…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
1979 Team DVOA: Back to the Steel Curtain
Today, DVOA finally reaches all the way back to the 1970s. All this week, I'll be introducing DVOA ratings from…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Snap-Weighted Age 2023
As if it wasn’t enough for the Kansas City Chiefs to be the dynasty perched atop the league, they have…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Top 10 DVOA Ratings in Losses
It's the offseason, which means it's a good time to look at fun past games of NFL history. Today, let's…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
AGL Totals by Position, from Jets Quarterbacks to Patriots Cornerbacks
Earlier this week, we examined adjusted games lost at the team level. Today, we'll switch perspectives to evaluate the impact…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Texans Lead 2023 AGL Numbers with OL Injury Record
The Houston Texans were a surprise playoff team in 2023, and they made it to the playoffs despite leading the…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Isaac Guerendo Tops 2024 RB Speed Scores
The very top of the Speed Score leaderboards is some rarified air. Since electronic timing started at the combine in…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
NFL Combine: Translating Coachspeak to Reality
Minnesota Vikings general manager Kwesi Adofo-Mensah positively adores Justin Jefferson. Sean Payton would toss Russell Wilson into the mouth of…
FTN
NFL
DVOA
Reverse PGWE: The Least Expected NFL Wins Since 1979
A couple of years ago, I developed a new metric alled Post-Game Win Expectancy (PGWE). The idea was to explore…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
How Bad Was the Eagles’ Collapse?
Recently, I was hit up by a local reporter to talk about this year's Philadelphia Eagles collapse down the stretch.…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Dynasty Rankings Update 2024
The Kansas City Chiefs were already a dynasty. But now they’re a Dynasty, capital-D, all rights reserved.After the NFL’s 100th…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA and Quick Reads
The Kansas City Chiefs ended up with a higher DVOA than the San Francisco 49ers in their Super Bowl LVIII…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA Preview
Well, here we are again with the question of whether we have to consider Patrick Mahomes as "playoff LeBron." Does…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Aaron Schatz’s 2023 NFL Award Ballot
This was my fourth year as an official Associated Press voter for both the All-Pro team and the end-of-season awards.…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII: Learning from the Worst of the Chiefs and 49ers
Teams don’t get to the Super Bowl without playing good football. But not all teams are perfect and there are…
FTN
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII Prop Bet Extravaganza
In 2004, the original Scramble for the Ball writers, Ian Dembsky and Al Bogdan, wrote the first Prop Bet Extravaganza…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
All-Keep Choppin’ Wood Team 2023
Oh, did you think you’d be safe, just because of a little thing like an entire website shutting down? It…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII Pre-Preview
I'm currently working on my 21st Super Bowl preview. That should run in the middle of next week, a few…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA Picks
Welcome to Week 22 of our DVOA-based picks.Each week, I pick (almost) every game straight up and against the spread,…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship DVOA Ratings
Continuing with my traditions from the old site, we're not going to bother with the full 32-team table of weighted…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads: Mahomes Magic
Here are the best and worst players of the conference championship games according to our DYAR stats.QuarterbacksRkPlayerTeamCP/ATYdsTDINTSacksTotalDYARPassDYARRushDYAROpp1.Patrick MahomesKC30/392411021471398BALMahomes had 125…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Lions at 49ers: DVOA Preview
One game more.For the Detroit Lions, this has been a season for wiping out droughts. They entered the year with…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Chiefs at Ravens: DVOA Preview
NBA stat modelers have a problem. It's called "playoff LeBron." NBA teams are constantly sitting their star players for a…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Bills vs. Chiefs and Legendary NFL Playoff Roadblocks
Losing in the playoffs is never fun. But really, it had to be them?If this year’s postseason feels somewhat familiar,…
Bryan Knowles
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship NFL Picks
Welcome to Week 21 of our DVOA-based picks.Each week, I pick (almost) every game straight up and against the spread,…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Round DVOA: Are Ravens The Hottest Team Ever?
The Kansas City Chiefs had the biggest win of the Divisional Round, despite the final score. But the Baltimore Ravens…
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Quick Reads: Lamar Jackson Runs Away With It
Lamar Jackson had one of the best rushing games in DYAR history against the Houston Texans this weekend. He had…
Aaron Schatz