Ladd McConkey – NFL Draft Sleeper Alert
Jay Felicio
Garrett WilsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Jets vs. Dolphins
Right now, Garrett Wilson’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-115/-119).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-119) after it opened @ 47.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating a passing game script.
- The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 69.5 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Garrett Wilson to garner 6.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
- Garrett Wilson has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, posting a Target Share of 21.1% this year, which ranks him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Garrett Wilson has been among the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
- The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (60.3%) to wide receivers this year (60.3%).
- The Miami Dolphins pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
