If you know anything about me, you probably realized years ago that I am obsessed with the NFL draft. It’s my Super Bowl. Since 2019, I am No. 3 in total FantasyPros mock draft points and the only person to finish in the top 20 each year. 

I don’t mean to brag. Rather, I mean to convey the true depths of degeneracy: I’m obsessed with the draft in a way that few people in life are ever interested in anything.

It’s a sickness. And the only cure for it is an updated version of my way-too-early 2022 mock.

2022 NFL Mock Draft

PickTeamPlayerPositionSchool
1Houston TexansSpencer RattlerQBOklahoma
2Detroit LionsSam HowellQBNorth Carolina
3New York JetsKayvon ThibodeauxEDGEOregon
4Cincinnati BengalsDerek StingleyCBLSU
5Jacksonville JaguarsKyle HamiltonSNotre Dame
6Philadelphia EaglesKedon SlovisQBUSC
7New York GiantsEvan NealOTAlabama
8Las Vegas RaidersDeMarvin LealEDGETexas A&M
9Atlanta FalconsDrake JacksonEDGEUSC
10Carolina PanthersMalik WillisQBLiberty
11New York GiantsKaiir ElamCBFlorida
12Minnesota VikingsGeorge KarlaftisEDGEPurdue
13Washington Football TeamDesmond RidderQBCincinnati
14Pittsburgh SteelersJ.T. DanielsQBGeorgia
15Arizona CardinalsSevyn BanksCBOhio State
16Philadelphia EaglesZion NelsonOTMiami (FL)
17Denver BroncosChristian HarrisLBAlabama
18New England PatriotsZach HarrisonEDGEOhio State
19Dallas CowboysJalen WydermyerTETexas A&M
20Los Angeles ChargersChris OlaveWROhio State
21Philadelphia EaglesKenyon GreenGTexas A&M
22Tennessee TitansRasheed WalkerOTPenn State
23New Orleans SaintsGarrett WilsonWROhio State
24New York JetsAidan HutchinsonEDGEMichigan
25Green Bay PackersJohn Metchie IIIWRAlabama
26Cleveland BrownsJustyn RossWRClemson
27Miami DolphinsJordan BattleSAlabama
28Baltimore RavensCharles CrossOTMississippi State
29Detroit LionsGeorge PickensWRGeorgia
30Buffalo BillsIsaiah SpillerRBTexas A&M
31Tampa Bay BuccaneersNik BonittoEDGEOklahoma
32Kansas City ChiefsTreylon BurksWRArkansas

2022 NFL Draft trades

I almost never project trades in my mocks, but a number of transactions for the 2022 draft have already taken place.

Here are the traded picks for Round 1.

  • Pick No. 11: To Giants from Bears in trade up for quarterback Justin Fields
  • Pick No. 16: To Eagles from Dolphins in trade up for No. 6 pick in 2021 draft
  • Pick No. 21: To Eagles from Colts in trade for quarterback Carson Wentz (assuming certain stipulations are satisfied)
  • Pick No. 24: To Jets from Seahawks in trade for safety Jamal Adams
  • Pick No. 27: To Dolphins from 49ers in trade up for No. 3 pick in 2021 draft
  • Pick No. 29: To Lions from Rams in trade for quarterback Matthew Stafford

As my board stands now, the Lions, Jets and Giants each have two 2022 first-rounders, and the Eagles have three.

NFL Draft order - 2022

I have used team futures odds at DraftKings Sportsbook to set the draft order. 

The Texans have the longest odds at +20000 to win the Super Bowl, so I have assigned them the No. 1 pick. The Chiefs have the shortest odds at +500, so they get pick No. 32.

It’s simple, but simplicity is sophistication.

Mock draft methodology

For this mock, I have generally endeavored to match prospect strength with potential team needs in the event that my proposed draft order is actually correct.

For example, if the Eagles play poorly enough in 2021 to earn the No. 6 pick in 2022, then that will likely mean that Jalen Hurts is not the quarterback of the future in Philadelphia, in which case the Eagles will be strongly incentivized to take a passer in the draft — and quarterback Kedon Slovis (USC) is available at that pick in my mock and likely to be a top-10 selection based on the data I look at, so he goes to the Eagles at No. 6.

Creating a mock draft is not a science — especially not this far before the actual draft -- but I try to be as methodical as possible.