Best Ball Breakdown: Best Picks in Rounds 6-10
The NFL season may be over, but the draft season has just begun, with predraft best ball tournaments already in full swing. Underdog Fantasy has launched The Big Board contest featuring $1 million in total prizes and $200k to first. The contest requires a $10 entry fee (150 max) and consists of 112,800 total entries. For those looking for a more budget-friendly option, there is also The Little Board which is just $3 per entry (2 max). The Little Board is a much smaller field, with only 3,552 entries, but it still has a prize pool of $50k and $10k to first.
Regardless of your contest selection, there is money to be won and edges to gain by hopping into lobbies early. In this article, I’m going to highlight my favorite targets in Rounds 6-10, based on current average draft position. (I covered the best picks in Rounds 1-5 last week.) You can stay up to date with the fluctuating ADP by using our free Underdog ADP Tool. First-time users can get a 100% deposit match up to $100 using the promo code “FTN.”
2023 Best Ball Breakdown: Best Picks in Rounds 6-10
Round 6: Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles
(ADP – 63.0, TE5)
Dallas Goedert thrived in his first full season without Zach Ertz despite sharing the field with one of the NFL’s best duos in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. He missed five games due to a Week 10 shoulder injury but played at an elite level when was on the field. His 58.5 receiving yards per game was the second most among all tight ends, trailing only Travis Kelce (78.7). Per the FTN Fantasy splits tool, Goedert’s numbers are even better if you remove the two games Jalen Hurts missed.
His 10.15 half-PPR points per game would have ranked third at the position. Although Goedert saw just 5.9 targets per game (tied for 10th among tight ends), he averaged 12.8 yards per reception, ranked inside the top five at the position (min. 40 receptions). His yards-after-catch ability was unrivaled.
At 63.0 overall, Goedert is a significant discount in Round 6, especially considering there are four tight ends with a top-50 ADP, being drafted inside the first four rounds.
Round 7: Jordan Addison (Rookie)
(ADP – 74.5, WR37)
One of the biggest edges is to attack rookies before they have a landing spot. Their ADPs are often suppressed due to uncertainty and the inability to find stacking partners. With the 2023 NFL Draft still over two months away, there is a lot of volatility in ranking the rookie class. That said, Ohio State’s Jaxon Smith-Njigba and USC’s Jordan Addison have seemingly emerged as the top two candidates at wide receiver. Drafters on Underdog have a clear preference for Smith-Njigba, who is going almost a full round and a half higher than Addison, but their draft position is flipped when looking at aggregated consensus mocks via Grinding the Mock. It’s too early to make a definitive case for either player, still days before the combine, but Addison is worth targeting at a discount. As a 4-star recruit coming out of high school, Addison burst onto the scene in his sophomore season at Pittsburgh, catching 100 passes for 1,593 yards and 17 touchdowns. He won the Biletnikoff Award for the nation's best receiver in 2021 and then entered the transfer portal in the offseason before committing to USC. Unfortunately, he was limited by an ankle injury in his final collegiate season but still led the team in targets (84), receptions (59), receiving yards (875), and receiving touchdowns (8). Over the past five seasons, a rookie wide receiver has finished inside the top 20 at the position, and Addison is worth betting on at WR37.
Round 8: Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins
(ADP – 95.2, QB12)
After his team brought in head coach Mike McDaniel, revamped the offensive line and traded for Tyreek Hill in the offseason, Tua Tagovailoa took a significant step forward in his third year. He set a career-high across the board, attempting 400 passes for 3,548 and 25 touchdowns in 13 games. Unfortunately, as has been the case for most of his career, he missed time due to injury, suffering multiple concussions throughout the season. However, when looking at Tagovailoa’s non-concussed games, he was a top-eight quarterback averaging over 20 fantasy points per game (20.01).
His 284.36 passing yards per game in 11 healthy games trailed only Patrick Mahomes, while his 2.18 passing touchdowns per game ranked fourth highest in the league. He was also first among all starting signal-callers in yards per attempt (8.9) while completing a league-high 54% of deep passes (20-plus yards). The inherent risk of Tagovailoa missing games in 2023 is baked into ADP, available at the 8/9 turn, but is too low if he stays healthy.
Round 9: Jakobi Meyers, New England Patriots
(ADP – 98.1, WR47)
Jakobi Meyers led the Patriots in targets (96) and receiving yards (804) for a third straight season while trailing only Rhamondre Stevenson in receptions by two catches in three fewer games. After scoring just two touchdowns in the last three seasons, Meyers tripled his career total, finding the endzone six times in 2022. He missed three games due to sickness or injury but averaged a career-high 57.43 receiving yards per game. That number jumps to 61.09 receiving yards per game when removing a three-game stretch (Weeks 12-15) when Meyers was playing in a limited fashion after suffering a shoulder injury on Thanksgiving.
In the 11 games, Meyers logged a 65-plus percent snap share, he averaged 12.15 half-PPR points per game, ranking inside the top 20 among all wide receivers. Meyers is entering free agency this offseason but has shown the ability to produce and command targets regardless of who is playing quarterback. Since 2020, Meyers has logged a 22%-plus target share while catching passes from multiple signal callers.
Round 10: Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers
(ADP – 110.0, TE11)
Pat Freiermuth took a step forward in year two, in his first season without Ben Roethlisberger, finishing top six in targets (98), receptions (63), and receiving yards (98) among all tight ends. After scoring seven touchdowns as a rookie, Freiermuth had a precipitous dropoff, finding the end zone just twice in 16 games. There weren’t many scoring opportunities for the Steelers who were seventh worst in scoring offense, averaging just 18.1 points per game. Still, Freiermuth finished as the TE8 in 2022 and should benefit from better touchdown luck next season. Historically, rookie quarterbacks aren’t great for their pass catchers and the offense will likely improve in Kenny Pickett’s second season.