NBA Best Bets of the Day (1/7)

NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games. 

I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.

Let’s get to it. 

Lauri Markkanen Over 26.5 Points

(-125, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Lauri Markkanen has gone over this number in seven of his last 10 games and now gets a matchup against the Bulls, who rank in the bottom 10 in defense this season. My model projects him for over 28. 

Domantas Sabonis Over 42.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

(-125, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Domantas Sabonis is a legit triple-double threat, and in a great matchup against the Lakers, we could see a huge game from the big man from Sacramento. My model projects Sabonis for 22 points, over 8 assists and nearly 15 rebounds. 

Franz Wagner Over 22.5 Points + Assists 

(-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Franz Wagner returned to the lineup the other day after a brief absence and scored 22 points while adding 3 assists. He gets a good matchup against the shorthanded Warriors, and my model projects him to nearly go over this number on points alone.