NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/3)
Alex Christenson
Dvoa NFL Articles
NFL
DVOA
Super Bowl LVIII DVOA and Quick Reads
The Kansas City Chiefs ended up with a higher DVOA than the San Francisco 49ers in their Super Bowl LVIII win. But as you might imagine given how good the Niners were in the regular season, that’s because of opponent adjustments. As befits a game where the Chiefs recovered six of seven fumbles including both […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Conference Championship Quick Reads: Mahomes Magic
Here are the best and worst players of the conference championship games according to our DYAR stats. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Patrick Mahomes KC 30/39 241 1 0 2 147 139 8 BAL Mahomes had 125 passing DYAR before halftime and 13 passing DYAR after […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Divisional Quick Reads: Lamar Jackson Runs Away With It
Lamar Jackson had one of the best rushing games in DYAR history against the Houston Texans this weekend. He had 11 carries for 100 yards and two touchdowns against one of the top run defenses in the NFL this year. That’s worth 60 DYAR, the sixth-best rushing game by a quarterback. That’s good because frankly, […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Wild Card Quick Reads: Love Has Won
Here’s Quick Reads for Wild-Card Weekend, now updated with the two Monday games! Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Jordan Love GB 16/21 272 3 0 0 224 224 0 DAL As noted in today’s DVOA commentary, this was the best passing DVOA game ever for the […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 18 Quick Reads: Snowy Breece
Here are your Quick Reads with the best and worst players of Week 18 by DYAR! As is tradition from the old site, there’s no commentary on the Week 18 results, but we’ll have an article later this week running down the best and worst players for the entire year. Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 17 Quick Reads: Lamar Locks Up the MVP?
Happy New Year! Once again there’s no Quick Reads commentary because of this week’s holiday, although there will be DVOA ratings and commentary later today. Here are the best and worst players of Week 17 by DYAR: Quarterbacks Rk Player Team CP/AT Yds TD INT Sacks TotalDYAR PassDYAR RushDYAR Opp 1. Lamar Jackson BAL 18/21 […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 16 Quick Reads: Amari Cooper’s Big Day
Merry Christmas, everyone who celebrates! No commentary this week because of the holiday, except to note that Amari Cooper does not finish No. 1 in DYAR among wide receivers because of a very heavy opponent adjustment. Also, George Pickens did not make our list of the top five wide receivers because he had a fumble […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 15 Quick Reads: James Cook Destroys the Cowboys
No long introduction to this week’s column, just an appreciation of James Cook and his huge game against the Dallas Cowboys. Cook had 104 total DYAR for this game. Based on current opponent adjustments, that’s the top game for any running back this season. Cook’s game was so big that Dallas dropped from sixth to […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 14 Quick Reads: Why Brock Purdy Is Like Randall Cunningham
Brock Purdy has easily been the most efficient quarterback in the NFL during the 2023 season. Purdy now leads all quarterbacks with 48.9% passing DVOA. He also leads quarterbacks in passing DYAR despite throwing fewer passes than most starters. That brings up the controversy about whether Purdy should be the MVP or not. Purdy is […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 13 Quick Reads: Big Seasons for Aiyuk and Hill
Tyreek Hill does not make our Quick Reads list of the top five wide receivers of Week 13. Neither does Brandon Aiyuk. Hill ends up eighth, thanks to one catch for a 6-yard loss and the opponent adjustments for playing the worst pass defense in the league, the Washington Commanders. Aiyuk is even lower, since […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 12 Quick Reads: Remaining Schedules
Before we got into the best and worst players of Week 12, I thought it would be fun to take a look at the remaining schedule strength for players. This should particularly be a help for fantasy football purposes. With that in mind, I looked at average defensive DVOA of opponents in Weeks 13-17, leaving […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 11 Quick Reads: Deep Cuts
You gotta be able to get the ball deep sometimes. Man does not live on checkdowns and short crosses alone. Brock Purdy got the ball deep on the way to being this week’s top quarterback by DYAR. Purdy currently leads the league in DVOA on deep passes, defined in the league play-by-play as passes of […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 10 Quick Reads: Another Impressive C.J. Stroud Joint
Updated Tuesday morning with Monday Night Football. None of this week’s best or worst players really stood out historically so I thought it would be a good week to take stock of the whole season. Which players have seen the biggest opponent adjustments so far? Remember that opponent adjustments aren’t based just on how good […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 9 Quick Reads: C.J. Stroud’s Record-Setting Afternoon
C.J. Stroud is having an incredible rookie season, but it hit its peak in yesterday’s game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Stroud had five touchdown passes and set a single-game rookie record with 470 passing yards, also leading a last-minute comeback for a 39-37 win. As you might suspect, Stroud also set records by our […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 8 Quick Reads: Will Levis and Great QB Debuts
Will Levis had an impressive debut at quarterback for the Tennessee Titans this week, with four touchdown passes. However, this game was not one of the best quarterback debuts in DVOA history because Levis played a bad pass defense (Atlanta) and had a low success rate of 29%. Most of his success came from the […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 7 Quick Reads: Big Weeks for Jackson and Mahomes
Now updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 10am EDT. Lamar Jackson had a dominant performance on Sunday in a 38-6 victory over the Detroit Lions. Many analysts felt it was the best passing performance of his career. But by DYAR, it wasn’t even the best performance of the week. That belonged to Patrick […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 6 Quick Reads: A History of Mac Joneses
Mac Jones of the New England Patriots has a very strange career path. Jones was good as a rookie, very productive compared to other rookie quarterbacks. He ended the year with 6.1% passing DVOA, 13th that year among qualifying quarterbacks. By DYAR, Jones had the 10th-best passing season for any rookie in our database, back […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 5 Quick Reads: Stroud and Proud
Take a look at the passing DYAR stats for the first five games of the 2023 season and you’ll see some unexpected names at the top of the list. For example, Patrick Mahomes is only fourth, in part due to opponent adjustments for an easier schedule. Justin Herbert is only eighth. Jalen Hurts is 13th. […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 4 Quick Reads: Big Offense in Buffalo
Updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 10:30 am EDT. Week 4 is the week I start introducing opponent adjustments to my numbers (at 40% strength) so this is a good time to look at which players have taken advantage of an easy schedule so far… or have been hurt by a tough schedule […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 3 Quick Reads: Off the Achane
Here’s a special delayed Quick Reads for Week 3, since I was off yesterday for the Jewish holiday of Yom Kippur. Just going to run the table of the best and worst DYAR with a couple of comments: As of now, De’Von Achane has the No. 4 best rookie running back game in DYAR history. […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 2 Quick Reads: The Tua Gap
Updated with Monday Night Football as of Tuesday 9:30 am EDT. Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins had a good Week 2 game. It wasn’t a great game, although the Miami offense certainly looked unstoppable at times. Other times, the Patriots defense stopped them. Tagovailoa ended the week with 119 passing DYAR, ranked seventh among […]
Aaron Schatz
NFL
DVOA
Week 1 Quick Reads: Tua’s Big Day
NOTE: Updated with Monday Night Football at 11am EDT. Welcome to Quick Reads! For readers who are new to my work and my stats, this is a weekly column where I will talk about the best and worst performances of the week according to my DYAR stats. That’s Defense-adjusted Yards Above Replacement, the “total” stat […]
Aaron Schatz