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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2024 Sony Open
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2024 Sentry
It takes a special kind of crazy to be good at PGA DFS. It is perhaps the most volatile of all the major sports, there’s little correlation to take advantage of and we only get six roster spots for each lineup. Consequently, to gain an edge over our competition we have to be bold – […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2024 Sentry
It’s the start of a new PGA Tour season this week at the Sentry. With gear updates, style changes and the residue of holiday inactivity, it’s easy to get caught up in the narratives. However, let’s focus on the essentials when assembling a winning DFS team for Week 1 on DraftKings or FanDuel. While recent […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
PGA Betting Course Fit and Stats: 2024 The Sentry
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2024 The Sentry
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA Bets
2024 The Sentry Betting Preview
Rising from our holiday hibernation, the PGA Tour is gearing up to kick off the 2024 season with a splash in Hawaii at this week’s Sentry. Forget the Tournament of Champions; it’s evolved with a more extensive lineup, and the old name just didn’t cut it anymore. Let’s dive into who’s making waves on the […]
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FTN
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PGA Bets
PGA Outright Betting – The Essential Role of Variance
We often think of variance as the enemy of projections in sports. When a player has a surprising game, was the projection bad, or was the result just a product of variance? Golf is no different. Players shock us all the time with how well or how poorly they play. However, if we can reliably […]
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FTN
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PGA Bets
2023 Mauritius Open Betting Preview
The DP World Tour heads to Mauritius this week to unveil a new course, La Reserve Golf Links at Heritage Golf Club. The course is co-designed by Peter Matkovich and last week’s winner Louis Oosthuizen.  La Reserve reminds me a bit of a course we saw recently, Albany in the Bahamas. Both coastal courses look […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Grant Thornton Invitational
DraftKings is featuring the inaugural Grant Thornton Invitational as their one and only golf DFS event this week. It’s a mixed team event featuring 16 two-person teams comprising of one PGA golfer and one LPGA golfer. A few years ago, DK wouldn’t have bothered touching an event like this with various scoring formats, but now […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Alfred Dunhill Championship Betting Preview
DraftKings has thrown us a curveball this week by featuring the Grant Thornton Invitational, a new team event featuring LPGA and PGA Tour combos. I will dive into that slate later this week but for betting purposes, I want to set my focus on the DP World Tour.  The event is the Alfred Dunhill Championship […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Hero World Challenge
Tiger Woods and 19 of his friends will take on Albany in the Bahamas at this week’s Hero World Challenge. It’s a tiny field with no cutline to consider. With that small of a field, it puts a premium on game theory because jamming in the six “best” picks will lead to an extra-large helping […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Hero World Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour season has concluded, but there are still betting opportunities with this week’s Hero World Challenge. This event attracts 20 high-level golfers to play a no-cut event in the Bahamas just days after scarfing down some Thanksgiving turkey. Run by Tiger Woods, he is also the main attraction this week, as he returns […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Joburg Open
The DP World Tour is kicking off their new season with two events. The Australian PGA Championship has the stronger of the DFS fields this week, but DraftKings chose the Joburg Open, so I will follow the DFS trail of money and break down that weak-field event at Houghton Golf Club.    Core Targets Thriston […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Joburg Open Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is resting after putting a lid on their 2023 season, but the DP World Tour is firing right back up this week with a pair of tournaments to kick off a new season.  There will be action in Australia and South Africa, providing a lot of playing opportunities right out of the […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 RSM Classic
The PGA Tour wraps up their 2023 campaign this week with a trip to Sea Island Golf Club. It’s the RSM Classic and it’s attracted a relatively strong field, at least compared to last week. It’s still lacking star power, but there are a lot of “semi stars” in the field this week, just no […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 RSM Classic Betting Preview
The PGA Tour season comes to an end this week with the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club. There is still Tiger’s event next week and a few DP World Tour events to keep us busy over the holidays, but this is the last official Tour event, so let’s go out in style.    […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship
The flood of pre-tournament WDs has subsided, so it’s time for us to dive into this week’s field at the Bermuda Championship. There are two more PGA DFS slates after this week before the December break. Let’s finish in style. Most golfers are fighting for their 2024 playing status in one way or another with […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship Betting Preview
The FedEx Fall pushes on this week as the PGA Tour heads to Port Royal Golf Course for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.  We’ve already seen more than 10 pre-tourney WDs since the initial field list was released last Friday. It makes me wonder about the course conditions, maybe word got around on how it’s looking […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship
The FedEx Fall has three more events to go, with many golfers still fighting for their 2024 playing status. Let’s finish in style starting with this week’s World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal, a Tiger Woods design.    Core Targets J.J. Spaun There is a clear top three this week with Ludvig Aberg, Cam […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 World Wide Technology Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is back in action this week as they head to Mexico for the World Wide Technology Championship.  We have a new host course for the event, El Cardonal at Diamante. Greg Norman stole the previous host venue, El Camaleon, for LIV Golf. Lining up very well with the political state of golf […]
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FTN
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PGA Bets
2023 Qatar Masters Betting Preview
The PGA Tour has the week off so the DP World Tour will fill in the void with the Qatar Masters.  The field strength is relatively weak, but the course is a familiar one, so let’s dive in to see what kind of bets might catch our eye.    Course Fit The host venue this […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Zozo Championship
The PGA Tour travels to Asia this week for the Zozo Championship in Japan.  For DFS purposes, we need to note that it’s a limited field of just 78 golfers, and all of them will be guaranteed four rounds of action unless they withdraw. Does that mean we need to punt the last spot or […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Zozo Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour heads to Japan this week for the Zozo Championship at Narashino Country Club.  We’ve seen this course host three times in the past, with the winners being Tiger Woods, Hideki Matsuyama and Keegan Bradley. Not too shabby. The latter two will be teeing it up again this week in hopes of collecting […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open
It’s time to put on a funny hat and head to Vegas for this week’s Shriners Children’s Open.  The host course is TPC Summerlin, which has hosted here for more than a decade. So there is plenty of history to lean on, but we also want to sift through the baseline and course-fit stats to […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Shriners Children’s Open Betting Preview
The FedEx Fall pushes on this week as the PGA Tour heads to Las Vegas for the Shriners Children’s Open. In theory, all of the Tour events contribute to local charities but this one and the St. Jude tug at the heartstrings a bit more.  Let’s dive into the course, look at the odds board, […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship
The PGA Tour returns to action this week, and while many are focused on football, this is prime earning time for DFS golf.  This week’s event is the Sanderson Farms Championship, at the Country Club of Jackson. The field is headlined by Ludvig Aberg who is working off his Ryder Cup hangover by staying true […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Sanderson Farms Championship Betting Preview
The PGA Tour is back in action this week for the Sanderson Farms Championship.  This is the second event of the FedEx Cup Fall Series, and it’s a good indicator of what kind of fields we should be expecting over the next six weeks. Let’s dive in and discuss what players might pop at the […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Ryder Cup
PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their rostership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order to be in the highest EV position. Enter: Hot takes.    The Ryder Cup is a […]
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Alex Blickle
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Ryder Cup
The United States will do battle with Europe, in Rome, at this week’s Ryder Cup. If you’ve read any previews for the event, you’re probably aware of Team USA’s poor record on foreign soil.  Will it be more of the same or will the new era of U.S. team golf have something else to say […]
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Josh Culp
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PGA Bets
2023 Ryder Cup Betting Preview
There is no stroke-play action this week in the world of golf, but we get something even better. It’s the biennial Ryder Cup which is taking place in Rome at Marco Simone Golf & Country Club.  It’s Team USA versus Team Europe, so let’s dive right in to see who has the advantage this week.  […]
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FTN
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PGA Bets
2023 Open de France Betting Preview
The big names in the world of golf are prepping for next week’s Ryder Cup. That leaves us with a dead spot on the PGA Tour schedule, but there is overseas action at the Open de France.  There are a dozen or so notable names in the field but not many household names. Let’s run […]
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FTN
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PGA DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Fortinet Championship
The DP World Tour has kept us busy over the last few weeks, but it’s great to get some golf in the States again.  It’s a strange schedule spot with just this one event in Napa before a week off and then the Ryder Cup. Without much form to look at, I want to lean […]
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Josh Culp