NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/14)
Alex Christenson
Dfs PGA Articles
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2024 Farmers Insurance Open
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2024 American Express
It takes a special kind of crazy to be good at PGA DFS. It is perhaps the most volatile of all the major sports, there’s little correlation to take advantage of and we only get six roster spots for each lineup. Consequently, to gain an edge over our competition we have to be bold – […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2024 American Express
The American Express is more than just a credit card. As we delve into the first leg of the California Swing, PGA West sets the scene for a three-course challenge at this week’s AmEx. Let’s explore the key stats and possible DFS targets. Core Targets Alex Noren The Swede stayed Stateside this fall, playing […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2024 Sony Open
It takes a special kind of crazy to be good at PGA DFS. It is perhaps the most volatile of all the major sports, there’s little correlation to take advantage of and we only get six roster spots for each lineup. Consequently, to gain an edge over our competition we have to be bold – […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2024 Sony Open
The PGA Tour’s Aloha Swing kicks on as Waialae Country Club readies for wind, rain and the Sony Open. The field expands from 59 to 144 golfers this week, which means we get some cut sweats. First things first, we need to glance at the weather. The current forecast calls for 10 to 15 […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2024 Sony Open
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2024 Sentry
It takes a special kind of crazy to be good at PGA DFS. It is perhaps the most volatile of all the major sports, there’s little correlation to take advantage of and we only get six roster spots for each lineup. Consequently, to gain an edge over our competition we have to be bold – […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2024 Sentry
It’s the start of a new PGA Tour season this week at the Sentry. With gear updates, style changes and the residue of holiday inactivity, it’s easy to get caught up in the narratives. However, let’s focus on the essentials when assembling a winning DFS team for Week 1 on DraftKings or FanDuel. While recent […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: 2024 The Sentry
For years, the course fit model has been my biggest weapon in both DFS and betting. For example, last season it fueled over 200 units won on outright bets alone. The edge is strong, but why? To understand the power of the course fit model, you first must understand the difference between predictive analysis and […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Grant Thornton Invitational
DraftKings is featuring the inaugural Grant Thornton Invitational as their one and only golf DFS event this week. It’s a mixed team event featuring 16 two-person teams comprising of one PGA golfer and one LPGA golfer. A few years ago, DK wouldn’t have bothered touching an event like this with various scoring formats, but now […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Hero World Challenge
Tiger Woods and 19 of his friends will take on Albany in the Bahamas at this week’s Hero World Challenge. It’s a tiny field with no cutline to consider. With that small of a field, it puts a premium on game theory because jamming in the six “best” picks will lead to an extra-large helping […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Joburg Open
The DP World Tour is kicking off their new season with two events. The Australian PGA Championship has the stronger of the DFS fields this week, but DraftKings chose the Joburg Open, so I will follow the DFS trail of money and break down that weak-field event at Houghton Golf Club. Core Targets Thriston […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 RSM Classic
The PGA Tour wraps up their 2023 campaign this week with a trip to Sea Island Golf Club. It’s the RSM Classic and it’s attracted a relatively strong field, at least compared to last week. It’s still lacking star power, but there are a lot of “semi stars” in the field this week, just no […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship
The flood of pre-tournament WDs has subsided, so it’s time for us to dive into this week’s field at the Bermuda Championship. There are two more PGA DFS slates after this week before the December break. Let’s finish in style. Most golfers are fighting for their 2024 playing status in one way or another with […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 World Wide Technology Championship
The FedEx Fall has three more events to go, with many golfers still fighting for their 2024 playing status. Let’s finish in style starting with this week’s World Wide Technology Championship at El Cardonal, a Tiger Woods design. Core Targets J.J. Spaun There is a clear top three this week with Ludvig Aberg, Cam […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Zozo Championship
The PGA Tour travels to Asia this week for the Zozo Championship in Japan. For DFS purposes, we need to note that it’s a limited field of just 78 golfers, and all of them will be guaranteed four rounds of action unless they withdraw. Does that mean we need to punt the last spot or […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Shriners Children’s Open
It’s time to put on a funny hat and head to Vegas for this week’s Shriners Children’s Open. The host course is TPC Summerlin, which has hosted here for more than a decade. So there is plenty of history to lean on, but we also want to sift through the baseline and course-fit stats to […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship
The PGA Tour returns to action this week, and while many are focused on football, this is prime earning time for DFS golf. This week’s event is the Sanderson Farms Championship, at the Country Club of Jackson. The field is headlined by Ludvig Aberg who is working off his Ryder Cup hangover by staying true […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Ryder Cup
PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their rostership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of a play in order to be in the highest EV position. Enter: Hot takes. The Ryder Cup is a […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Ryder Cup
The United States will do battle with Europe, in Rome, at this week’s Ryder Cup. If you’ve read any previews for the event, you’re probably aware of Team USA’s poor record on foreign soil. Will it be more of the same or will the new era of U.S. team golf have something else to say […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Fortinet Championship
The DP World Tour has kept us busy over the last few weeks, but it’s great to get some golf in the States again. It’s a strange schedule spot with just this one event in Napa before a week off and then the Ryder Cup. Without much form to look at, I want to lean […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 Tour Championship
The PGA Tour’s playoff finale is taking place this week in Atlanta with a small field of 30 golfers teeing it up at East Lake Golf Club for the Tour Championship. This event has unique scoring with golfers assigned starting strokes according to their FedEx Cup standings. For DFS, that plays a key role as […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Tour Championship
The final hot takes of the 2023 PGA season! Let’s see if we can find one final gem or two. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you have to feel like you’re on an island when it comes to your viewpoint of […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
4 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 Tour Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. This […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 BMW Championship
The PGA Tour heads to Chicago to take on Olympia Fields Country Club. We last saw the course at the 2020 BMW Championship. Only five golfers finished under-par that week as the wind whipped and the course was playing extremely firm and fast. We should expect softer conditions this week, but it should still be […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 BMW Championship
This week’s BMW Championship features a limited field of just 50 golfers. They are the top-50 golfers this season, though, so all are capable of contending. Combine that with stretched-out pricing from DraftKings, and there needs to be a lot of focus on the salary cellar. While I said anyone in the field is capable […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 BMW Championship
This week’s hot takes will once again feature our birdie rate over expectation metric, as it proved to be quite the cheat code last week. I cashed easily with Rory and Cam Davis as the only two guys who played well because everyone I used outperformed their real life performance in DraftKings points. PGA DFS […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Insert “Jim Mora playoffs” gif. Playoffs?? Hell yes! As unenthused as I typically am by no-cut events, we at least have the tools (like our birdie rate over expectation) to use it to our advantage. PGA DFS is all about weighing the risks and rewards of players in relation to their ownership projections. Often, you […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
The Core and More: DFS Notes for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
The playoffs start this week with a limited-field event taking place at TPC Southwind. There are just 70 golfers pegging it this week in Memphis and no-cut events always lead to more gamers gravitating to a stars-and-scrubs approach for DFS roster construction. It’s certainly tempting to take those salary savings at the bottom when […]
Josh Culp
PGA
DFS
8 under $8,000: Cheap DFS plays for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
PGA DFS is often won or lost under $8k. At the top of the price range, especially in strong fields, any player can win in any given week. This isn’t true below $8k — some of the cheaper players have much better distributions of potential outcomes than others. Our job is to identify them. This […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Course Fit and Stats: The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship
Playoffs?? Hell yeah, we’re talking about playoffs. Do I wish there was a traditional cut this week? You bet, but we’ve got a great field at a great golf course, and a course-fit model that’s just as strong. A brief reminder of the thought process behind and execution of the course fit model: Golf […]
Alex Blickle
PGA
DFS
PGA DFS Hot Takes for the 2023 Wyndham Championship
One of my favorite yearly mini-Tour stops was at Sedgefield CC — the Dye course, not this one. The one for this week’s Wyndham Championship is a Donald Ross course (not a bad place, this Sedgefield CC). Does this week make me a bit nostalgic for the summers I spent on the road from one […]
Alex Blickle